The expert assessed the forecast of British intelligence about the imminent retaliatory strike of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
The British misjudged the tactics of the Russian special operation
Statements by the head of British intelligence MI6 Richard Moore that Russian troops in Ukraine will soon run out of steam, and after that Ukrainian troops will be able to strike back, do not have no basis and are based on an incorrect assessment of the situation and Russian tactics. Well-known military expert Mikhail Khodarenok thinks so.
The fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) are preparing resources for a counteroffensive has been talked about for a long time. They even called the timing of such an offensive – August-September. They say that by this time it will be possible to prepare, with the help of NATO countries, new units armed with Western equipment.
Britain, for example, has promised to train 10,000 Ukrainian troops. True, there is one thing: the declared ten thousand will be cooked not at the same time, but in groups. That is, first one party – 100 people will work out for two or three weeks, then another group – and so on. Well, that is, in a year or two, ten thousand Ukrainian soldiers will go through British training. There is definitely no time for this fall.
Another problem in the implementation of the plans of the Kyiv “autumn counter-offensive” is the supply of Western weapons. They also had interruptions. Large weapons are supplied piece by piece, and this flow does not have time to compensate for the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the fronts. As Mikhail Khodarenok wrote in his Telegram channel, there is no need to talk about the “potential of a turning point” in connection with Western supplies.
Criticizing the statement of the chief British intelligence officer, the military expert notes the falsity in assessing the tactics of our special operation. Moore, in particular, claims that ours are suffering heavy losses in people and equipment in Ukraine, trying to storm the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the forehead with the last of their strength. But it's not. “Things on the front line within the framework of the special operation are completely different,” Khodarenok notes. – The armed forces of the Russian Federation of the Russian Federation are not engaged in assault and do not limit themselves in terms. Priority was given to the remote defeat of Ukrainian troops and the maximum saving of personnel.
Confirmation – data from the Ministry of Defense reports for the last 24 hours. In the Dnipropetrovsk region, up to 200 people were killed as a result of a high-precision strike at the temporary deployment point of the 406th artillery brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Artillery liquidated more than 60 militants of the national battalion in Verkhnekamenskoye. In Belogorovka, the aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces destroyed more than half of the 2nd battalion of the 14th mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
As a result, according to Khodarenko, the chosen tactics allow the Russian military leadership not to mobilize and use only contract and volunteer forces, while moving forward. Slowly but surely. “It is quite obvious that time works just for Russia, since both the human and economic resources of Ukraine are finite,” Khodarenok concludes.
It is hard not to agree, if we remember that all over the country in our country all new military units are being formed on a contract basis to be sent to the special operation zone. The Chechen Republic alone is preparing four separate battalions for the Russian army. And also Tatarstan, Bashkiria, Primorye, dozens of other regions of the country.
In the Kherson region, a volunteer battalion was formed from local residents, as well as from natives of Odessa, Nikolaev and other regions of Ukraine. The guys are eager to free their cities and villages from neo-Nazis as soon as possible.
According to Khodarenko, the statements of the head of British intelligence are an attempt to “put a good face on a bad game until the very end.”
“The scenario will change when it becomes clear that Ukrainian troops with Kyiv the regime was ordered to live long, – Khodarenok predicts. – Then the drain of Biden, and Ukraine itself, and a number of Western officials who will be appointed switchmen will begin. Moore himself may be one of them.”
American military expert Scott Ritter agrees with the Russian analyst. In his opinion, Russia is winning and will develop victory on the battlefield. In his opinion, Ukraine will not hold such cities as Odessa, Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk.